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| Probability Stories by Iruhdam |
policy change is the result of a chaotic interplay between millions or
billions of individuals acting in ways that may not always be
rational. The probability of any particular result is almost never 0%
or 100%.
Whenever I hear a talk radio host or television commentator
belligerently proclaiming the certainty of their particular view of
the future, I wonder whether they haven't thought things through
carefully or they're just being dishonest.
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